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Experts Prediction - Week of January 4th

Check out our experts predictions for games happening over the week of January 4th, mainly featuring Premier League games.

Author: waelah
04-Jan-2025

Expert: waelah

  1. Bournemouth vs Everton – Bournemouth & Under 3.5 Goals

Bet365 Odds: 2.34

Key Points:

  • 5 of Bournemouth’s last 6 games and Everton’s last 4 games have seen under 3.5 goals.
  • Bournemouth has kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches and is unbeaten in their last 7 games (4 wins, 3 draws).
  • Bournemouth’s home form is solid, collecting 15 points and scoring 11 goals in 9 matches.
  • Everton has only 7 away points, scoring just 6 goals in 9 away games.
  • Both teams rank well in defensive metrics: Everton has 7 clean sheets this season, while Bournemouth has 

Bournemouth vs. Everton is likely to be a low-scoring match, with Bournemouth having the edge in form and home performance. Both teams are defensively solid, with Bournemouth keeping 3 clean sheets in their last 6 games and Everton achieving 7 clean sheets this season. Bournemouth is unbeaten in their last 7 matches, earning 15 points at home, while Everton has struggled away, managing just 7 points and scoring only 6 goals in 9 games. Recent trends point to a lack of goals, with 5 of Bournemouth’s last 6 games and Everton’s last 4 games all staying under 3.5 goals.

2. Fulham vs Ipswich Town – Fulham to Win

Bet365 Odds: 1.55

Key Points:

  • Fulham has the 4th best defense in the league based on xG metrics.
  • Fulham are unbeaten in their last 7 games.
  • Fulham has only one loss in their last 6 home matches (to Wolves), with 2 wins and 3 draws in that span.
  • Ipswich has won just 2 of their 9 away matches this season, although both wins came in their last 4 away games.
  • Fulham has won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5 meetings against Ipswich.

Fulham is the clear favorite to secure a win against Ipswich Town, thanks to their solid form and defensive strength. With the 4th best defense in the league (based on xG metrics), Fulham is unbeaten in their last 7 games and has only lost once at home in their last 6 matches, securing 2 wins and 3 draws. While Ipswich has shown some improvement with 2 away wins in their last 4 matches, their overall away form remains weak, with just 2 wins in 9 games. Fulham’s dominance in this matchup, winning 4 and drawing 1 of their last 5 meetings, reinforces their advantage.

3. Tottenham vs Newcastle – Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score

Bet365 Odds: 1.50

Key Points:

  • 4 of Tottenham’s last 5 matches have been over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.
  • Tottenham’s home games average 4.4 goals per match, while Newcastle’s away games average 3 goals per match.
  • Newcastle is in strong attacking form, scoring 13 goals in their last 4 games without conceding.
  • 5 of Newcastle’s last 6 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
  • Tottenham has scored in every home game this season except one, and Newcastle has scored in every away game except one.
  • 9 of the last 10 meetings between the two teams have had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 of those. 

Tottenham vs. Newcastle promises to be a thrilling, high-scoring encounter. Both teams are in attacking form, with Newcastle scoring 13 goals in their last 4 games and Tottenham’s home matches averaging 4.4 goals per game. Both teams have also been consistent scorers, with Tottenham scoring in every home game except one and Newcastle scoring in all but one away game. Historically, this fixture delivers goals, with 9 of the last 10 matches seeing over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. Given their current form and attacking prowess, this match is highly likely to feature over 2.5 goals with both teams finding the net.

Expert: mhaffar8

  1. Tottenham vs Newcastle - Both Teams to Score

Bet365 Odds: 1.30

Key Points:

  • Tottenham have scored the second-most goals at home in the league this season, with 25, and the second-most overall (home and away) at 41 goals.
  • Tottenham are tied for the fourth-most goals conceded at home in the league, with 19, although 6 of those came in one game against Liverpool.
  • Newcastle have scored 16 goals in their last five games across all competitions.
  • Newcastle rank fifth in goals scored away from home in the league, with 17 goals.
  • These teams have met 59 times in the league without ever drawing 0-0—the most in Premier League history.

Tottenham and Newcastle are set for an exciting encounter. Spurs have the second-most home goals (25) but have also conceded 19, while Newcastle have scored 16 in their last five games and rank fifth in away goals (17). Remarkably, their 59 league meetings have never ended 0-0, the most in Premier League history. This fixture promises goals from both sides.

2. Brighton vs Arsenal - Arsenal to Win

Bet365 Odds: 1.80

Key Points:

  • Brighton are winless in their last 7 league games, with their last victory coming in November against Bournemouth. Since that win, they have collected only 5 points out of a possible 21.
  • Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 12 games across all competitions.
  • Arsenal have scored 9 goals and conceded just 2 in their last 3 games.
  • Arsenal have conceded the joint-fewest goals in the league (17) and have kept 7 clean sheets, the second-most in the league.
  • Arsenal have scored the third-most goals away in the league at 20.
  • Despite Saka's injury being a setback for Arsenal, they have won both games since his absence.

Arsenal are in excellent form, unbeaten in their last 12 games across all competitions, with 9 goals scored and only 2 conceded in their last 3 matches. Despite Saka's injury, they have won both games since his absence. Meanwhile, Brighton are winless in their last 7 league games, collecting just 5 points since their November victory over Bournemouth. Arsenal also boast the joint-best defensive record in the league and the third-most away goals scored (20), making them strong favorites.


Data from Understat & FBRef