Expert: waelah
- Liverpool vs Ipswich – Liverpool to Win by More than 1 Goal & Salah to Score or Assist
Bet365 Odds: 1.65
Key Points:
- Liverpool has dominated Ipswich historically, winning 38 games compared to Ipswich’s 14. Their earlier meeting this season ended 2-0 to Liverpool.
- Ipswich has failed to score in their last 4 league defeats, losing 4 of their last 6 matches, with most defeats by more than 1 goal.
- Liverpool averages 2.36 xG per game at home (2nd highest in the league) and concedes just 1 xG per game.
- Liverpool has won 7 of 10 home games this season and has the second-highest home points total after Arsenal.
- Ipswich has conceded 19 goals in 10 away games, scoring only 12. Their underlying xG (11.59 created, 25.8 conceded) is even worse.
- Liverpool has won 3 of their last 5 home league games by more than 1 goal and drawn the other 2.
- Mohamed Salah has scored or assisted in 18 of 22 games this season and has failed to do so in only 1 home game.
Liverpool are well-positioned for a convincing win against an Ipswich side struggling both defensively and offensively. Historically dominant in this matchup, Liverpool won their earlier meeting 2-0 and has been great at home this season, averaging 2.36 xG per game and conceding just 1 xG. They’ve won 7 of 10 home games and have the league’s second-highest home points total. Ipswich have lost 4 of their last 6 matches, 3 of them by more than 1 goal. With Salah in great form, Liverpool should comfortably win by a margin greater than 1 goal.
2. Manchester City vs Chelsea – Both Teams to Score
Bet365 Odds: 1.40
Key Points:
- Both teams have scored in 16 of Chelsea’s 22 league games this season, including all of their last 3 matches.
- Chelsea has the 3rd best attack in the league in terms of goals scored but only the 6th best defense, indicating a strong attack and an average defense.
- Both teams have scored in 15 of Manchester City’s 22 league games, including 6 of their last 8 matches.
- Manchester City has scored 22 goals in their last 5 games, while Chelsea has netted 11 in the same period.
- Both teams rank midtable for xG conceded, with leaky defenses at times—Chelsea at 34 xG conceded, and Manchester City at 36.
- Both teams excel offensively, with Chelsea ranking 2nd and Manchester City 5th in xG created this season.
Chelsea vs. Manchester City is shaping up to be a match where both teams find the net. Chelsea has seen both teams score in 16 of their 22 league games, including all of their last 5, and their strong attack (3rd best in the league) often compensates for an okay defense (6th best). Manchester City has also been involved in goal-heavy games, with both teams scoring in 15 of their 22 matches and 6 of their last 8. With City scoring 22 goals in their last 5 games and Chelsea adding 11, along with leaky defenses for both, goals on both ends seem inevitable.
3. RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen – Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals
Bet365 Odds: 1.80
Key Points:
- Leipzig has scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches, while Leverkusen has netted 10 in the same period.
- Leipzig has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 league matches, while Leverkusen has failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their last 8 league matches.
- Both teams have scored in Leipzig’s last 5 league games, all of which also saw over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams have scored in 3 of Leverkusen’s last 4 league games, all of which also saw over 2.5 goals.
- Since last season, all 3 matches between Leipzig and Leverkusen have ended 3-2, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals.
- At home, Leipzig games have averaged 3 goals a game this season in the league, while Leverkusen away games have averaged 3.5 goals a game.
Leipzig vs. Leverkusen looks set to be another high-scoring clash with both teams finding the net and over 2.5 goals expected. Leipzig has scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches but has struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last 7 games. Similarly, Leverkusen has scored 10 in their last 5 matches while conceding in 6 of their last 8 games. Both teams have consistently been involved in goal-filled matches, with Leipzig’s last 5 games and 3 of Leverkusen’s last 4 all featuring both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals. Their recent head-to-heads, all finishing 3-2, further support this trend.
4. FC Barcelona vs Valencia – Barcelona to Win & Over 2.5 Goals
Bet365 Odds: 1.70
Key Points:
- Barcelona have won 7 out of the last 10 games between these two teams. In those 10 games, there have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of them.
- 15 of Barcelona’s league games this season have seen more than 2.5 goals, including 5 of their last 7.
- 9 of Valencia’s league games this season have seen more than 2.5 goals, but only 2 of their last 5.
- Barcelona’s league form has been inconsistent, with only 1 win in their last 5 matches.
- Valencia has won just 1 of their last 8 league games,
- Barcelona’s league matches average almost 4 goals per game, the highest in La Liga, while Valencia’s matches average 2.4 goals per game.
- Against bottom-half teams, Barcelona has scored 27 goals and conceded 11 in their last 11 matches.
- Valencia is 19th in the league, with just 3 wins this season and none coming away from home.
Barcelona has been involved in goal-heavy matches, with 15 of their games seeing over 2.5 goals, including 5 of their last 7. Despite inconsistent form recently, Barcelona’s games average almost 4 goals per match, the highest in the league and they are still sitting 3rd in the league. Valencia, struggling at 19th in the table, has won just 3 league games all season, none of them away. Barcelona has dominated matches against bottom-half teams, scoring 27 and conceding 11 in their last 11 encounters. Despite Barcelona’s poor form in the league, Valencia represent a good opponent to get them back on track with a win and some goals.
5. Tottenham vs Leicester – Tottenham to Win
Bet365 Odds: 1.45
Key Points:
- Leicester is in dreadful form, losing their last 7 league games and going winless in their last 8.
- Leicester has conceded more than 1 goal in each of their last 8 league matches.
- Tottenham has scored 45 goals in the league this season, the 2nd highest total, despite their inconsistent recent form.
- Tottenham secured a morale-boosting Europa League win a few days ago, which could provide momentum heading into this match.
- Tottenham’s only league win in their last 7 games came against Southampton, another newly promoted team.
Leicester’s form has been abysmal, with 7 consecutive league losses and no wins in their last 8 matches. Their defensive frailty is glaring, conceding more than 1 goal in each of their last 8 games. Tottenham, despite their struggles, remain potent offensively, boasting 45 goals this season—the 2nd highest in the league. Their recent Europa League win could give them a confidence boost, and their last league victory came against another newly promoted side, Southampton. With Leicester’s ongoing slump, this match offers Tottenham a perfect opportunity to get back on track.
Expert: mhaffar8
1. Wolves Vs Arsenal- Arsenal to Win and Clean Sheet
Bet365 Odds: 2.50
- Head to Head, Arsenal have won 7 in a row against Wolves. Last Wolves win was in 2021.
- Wolves have conceded the most goals in the league, 51 goals.
- Wolves have the third worst record at home in the league, losing 7 out of 10 games so far.
- Arsenal have the second best defense in the league, conceding only 21 goals. Arsenal have the tied second best defense away in the league, conceding only 12 goals.
- Arsenal have scored the fifth most goals in the league, with 43 goals.
Arsenal are strong favorites against Wolves, having won their last seven meetings. Wolves have the league's worst defensive record, conceding 51 goals, and struggle at home with seven losses in 10 games. Meanwhile, Arsenal boast the league's second-best defense, conceding only 21 goals (12 away), and have scored the fifth-most goals in the league with 43. This match is likely to see Arsenal emerge as winners while also keeping a clean sheet.
2. Crystal Palace Vs Brentford- Crystal Palace or Draw
Bet365 Odds: 1.25
Key Points:
- Crystal Palace is on a five- game unbeaten streak in the league, having won 3 of their last 4 matches. (Record: 3-2-0)
- Brentford have won only one game away from home in the league this season, with 2 draws and 7 losses from 10 games, making it the joint second-worst away record in the league.
- Head-to-head, the last 7 games between Crystal Palace and Brentford have resulted in 5 draws, 1 win for Brentford, and 1 win for Crystal Palace.
- Crystal Palace have recorded the second-highest number of draws in the league, with 9 out of 22 games ending in a draw.
Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last five league games (3 wins, 2 draws) and have momentum on their side. Brentford, on the other hand, have struggled away from home, winning just one of their 10 games this season (2 draws, 7 losses), the joint second-worst record in the league. Head-to-head, five of the last seven meetings between these teams have ended in draws, and Crystal Palace have the second-highest number of draws in the league this season with 9 out of 22 matches. This match is likely to result in either a Crystal Palace win or a draw.
Data from Understat, FBRef & FotMob
Disclaimer: This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute betting or financial advice.