Expert: waelah
- Leicester vs Wolves - Over 2.5 Goals
Bet365 Odds: 1.53
Key Points:
- Leicester and Wolves have two of the league’s worst defenses, conceding 34 and 40 goals, respectively, and rank in the bottom five for defensive metrics.
- Leicester has scored in every home game this season.
- Wolves’ matches average 4 goals per game (highest in the league), while Leicester’s average 3.44 (third highest).
- Wolves have conceded two or more goals in 13 of their 16 games.
- Both teams have scored in 4 of Wolves’ last 5 games, with Wolves failing to score just once.
- Both teams have scored in 4 of Leicester’s last 5 games, with Leicester failing to score only once.
Leicester vs. Wolves promises to be a high-scoring affair, with both teams’ poor defensive records and strong attacking trends pointing toward goals. Wolves have conceded 40 goals this season, while Leicester has let in 34, putting both in the bottom five defensively. Wolves’ matches average a league-high 4 goals per game, and Leicester’s rank third with 3.44. Both teams have scored in 4 of their last 5 games, with neither team consistently keeping clean sheets. Leicester’s streak of scoring in every home game and Wolves’ leaky defense makes it highly likely we will see goals..
2. Liverpool vs Spurs - Both teams to Score
Bet365 Odds: 1.33
Key Points:
- Both teams have scored in 9 of the last 10 meetings between them.
- Liverpool has the second-best xG in the league (35.83), while Spurs rank third (35.24), highlighting two of the best attacks.
- Spurs have scored in every home game this season, except against Arsenal in early September.
- Liverpool has scored in every away game this season.
Liverpool vs. Spurs is primed to deliver goals from both sides, as history and form suggest a high-scoring encounter. Both teams have scored in 9 of their last 10 meetings, underlining their attacking prowess in head-to-head clashes. Liverpool boasts the second-best xG in the league (35.83), while Spurs are close behind in third (35.24), showcasing their status as two of the league's most potent offenses. Spurs have found the net in every home game this season, barring one, while Liverpool has scored in every away fixture. With such consistent attacking records, both teams scoring looks like a certainty.
3. Atalanta vs Empoli – Atalanta to Win by more than One Goal
Bet365 Odds: 1.86
Key Points:
- Atalanta has the second-best attack in goals scored (39) and the best in expected goals (37.74).
- Atalanta has won 6 of 7 home games this season, scoring 22 goals—averaging 3 goals per game at home.
- Empoli’s away form is inconsistent, with midtable rankings in offensive and defensive metrics.
- Atalanta won this fixture 2-0 last season.
- Empoli has managed only two wins in their last 11 league games.
- Atalanta is on an incredible streak, winning their last 10 league games.
Atalanta is set to dominate against an inconsistent Empoli side, with a comfortable win by more than one goal on the cards. Atalanta boasts the league's best attack based on xG (37.74) and has already scored 39 goals this season. Their home form is stellar, with six wins in seven games, averaging 3 goals per match. In contrast, Empoli’s form has been mixed, ranking midtable in both offensive and defensive metrics and winning just two of their last 11 matches. Atalanta’s incredible 10-game winning streak, combined with their 2-0 win in this fixture last season, strongly favors the home side.
Expert: mhaffar8
- Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid - Barcelona or Draw and Under 3.5 Goals
Bet365 Odds: 2.00
Key Points:
- Barcelona have scored the most goals in Europe’s top 5 leagues at 50 (and have the highest xG at 47).
- Barcelona have won 5 out of their last 5 meetings with Atletico Madrid.
- Atletico are on a 10-game win streak in all competitions.
- Away from home, Atletico have the fourth-best defense in the league based on xGA (8.85) but have only conceded 5 goals.
- Atletico are tied for the strongest defense in Europe’s top 5 leagues, conceding only 11 goals.
Barcelona have scored the most goals in Europe’s top five leagues with 50 and boasting the highest xG at 47. They’ve also dominated Atletico recently, winning their last five meetings. However, Atletico are in excellent form, riding a 10-game win streak and tied for the strongest defense in Europe’s top five leagues, conceding just 11 goals. Despite having the fourth-best away defense by xGA (8.85), they have only conceded 5 goals away from home. Expect a low scoring match with Barcelona having an edge or a potential draw.
2. Manchester United vs Bournemouth - Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals
Bet365 Odds: 1.80
Key Points:
- Bournemouth have the fourth-highest xG in the league at 35 but have underperformed, managing to score only 24 goals.
- Bournemouth have scored in 9 straight league games.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 6 of Manchester United's last 7 games across all competitions.
- In the 8 games United have played under Amorim, they have only failed to score once.
- 18 goals were scored in the last 5 games between these two sides.
Manchester United and Bournemouth are set for a high-scoring encounter. Bournemouth, despite underperforming their fourth-highest xG of 35 with only 24 goals, have scored in 9 consecutive league games. Manchester United have found the net in 7 of their 8 matches under Amorim, with their games featuring over 2.5 total goals in 6 of their last 7 outings. Additionally, the last 5 meetings between these two sides have produced a combined total of 18 goals. Expect a high scoring match with both teams finding the net.
3. Crystal Palace vs Arsenal: Arsenal Win and Clean Sheet
Bet365 Odds: 2.3
Key Points:
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 9 games across all competitions (6 wins, 3 draws).
- Crystal Palace have the 4th worst home record in the league this season, with just 1 win in 8 games.
- Arsenal have the 2nd best away defense in the league, conceding only 9 goals.
- In their last 4 league meetings, Arsenal have won all 4, scoring 12 goals and conceding just 1 against Crystal Palace.
- Crystal Palace have significantly underperformed their xG of 12 at home, managing to score only 6 goals— the worst record in the league this season.
Arsenal are in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last 9 games across all competitions, with 6 wins and 3 draws. They head into their match against Crystal Palace with confidence, as Palace have struggled at home, registering only 1 win in 8 games this season and having the 4th worst home record in the league. In their last 4 league meetings, Arsenal have been dominant, winning all 4, scoring 12 goals, and conceding just 1. This fixture strongly favors the away side, potentially accompanied by a clean sheet.
Data from Understat & FBRef